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Home Brian Stewart Cancel Burst Detection Notes on AI Derivatives Exchange

Cancel Burst Detection Notes on AI Derivatives Exchange

If you have wondered why two platforms liquidate the same position at different prices, the answer is usually in the rules. Here is a direct way to approach it: start with definitions, then map them to the risk checks that run before and after each order. The insurance fund is a shock absorber. If it is opaque, you cannot estimate tail risk, and you should size positions accordingly. In calm markets, a platform can look identical to competitors. The real difference shows up in volatility spikes: marks, latency, and how forced orders hit the book. Measure funding, basis, and realized volatility together. Funding alone is a weak signal, but the combination can reveal crowded positioning and liquidation risk. Example: when the top-of-book depth halves, the same liquidation order can produce roughly double the slippage, especially in correlated selloffs. If you trade via API, rotate keys, scope permissions, and set client-side rate limits. Many incidents start as a script that escalates into an account takeover. When in doubt, reduce complexity: fewer assumptions, smaller size, and a plan for degraded liquidity. Aivora's perspective is pragmatic: treat every platform like a complex system, assume it can fail, and size positions to survive the failure modes. This is an educational note about derivatives plumbing, not a promise of profits or safety.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.