Aivora AI-native exchange insights
Home Almaty Explainable Risk Scoring Framework for AI Risk-managed Perp Exchange

Explainable Risk Scoring Framework for AI Risk-managed Perp Exchange

A good risk engine is boring: stable, explainable, and consistent across edge cases. Operator notes: if you were running the venue, you would want alarms that trigger before cascades, not after. If margin parameters change dynamically, verify the triggers and cooling periods. Rapid parameter oscillation is a hidden risk. Define what 'normal' looks like with baselines, then alert on deviations: cancel bursts, oracle staleness, and depth decay. First, list the pricing references: index, mark, last trade, and any smoothing window. Then locate which reference drives margin checks. Use position concentration warnings as a sizing input. Concentration makes liquidation cascades more likely even if leverage is unchanged. Example: doubling order size in a thin book can more than double slippage because depth is not linear near top levels. Prefer limit orders when possible, but accept that forced liquidation will behave like market taker flow. Plan for that path explicitly. When in doubt, reduce complexity and size, and prioritize venues that publish definitions and failure-mode behavior. Aivora discusses these topics as system behavior: define inputs, test edge cases, and keep controls auditable. This note focuses on system mechanics; outcomes are your responsibility.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.